Aluno: Ajibola Oluwaseun Toheeb Enifeni
Resumo
In this research, we study the cost of Banking crises, focusing on analysing the cost borne by large banking systems while comparing them to smaller banking systems. We use a logit regression to ascertain variables most important for our research and we engage in a descriptive and comparative analysis. Most importantly, we analysed the general cost of banking crises and how they affect both developed and developing economies, using variables such as GDP and house prices, specifically between 2000 to 2019. Our results show that banking crises indeed affect GDP and the intermediary function of banks. Houses are used as collateral for loans and, in turn, as assets for Banks; the diminishing value of houses during a crisis also affects interest and the size of credit the bank is willing to offer. We finally enhance the study by comparing the cost of crises between developed and developing economies. The results suggest that larger banking systems face higher risks, but their huge capitalisation mitigates these risks, and the effects of crises borne by groups of economies are different. Active regulation and supervision have proven to help prevent and greatly minimise the effects of banking crises.
Trabalho final de Mestrado