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PRIIP Valuation and Risks analysis: SG EUR Revolução Automóvel 2018-2023

Aluno: Pedro Miguel Carvalho Mendes


Resumo
The aim of this project is analysing a structured product issued by Société Générale - SG EUR REVOLUÇÃO AUTOMÓVEL 2018-2023. It is centred on 5 aspects, namely the product risks, advantages and disadvantages, composition, profitability, and delta hedging. This analysis is carried out through the application of the knowledge I acquired during my master’s in finance course. I started by presenting an overview of the product and subsequently identifying the risks, advantages, and disadvantages from both perspectives of the issuer and investors. Furtherly, I suggested a possible composition of the product based on exotic derivative contracts and a zero-coupon bond. The most quantitative part steps in at the profitability analysis and delta hedging. I came up with an expected profit per structured note for the issuer and investors, based on 3 widely known models such as Monte Carlo Simulation, Binomial Tree, and Black-Scholes-Merton. Finally, I discussed the results obtained, finding that the issuer is expected to profit significantly more than any investor interested on buying a note. Curiously, the investor is expected to receive nothing beyond the product’s capital protection in the most probable depicted scenario. Ultimately, the delta hedging strategy suggested revealed some level of efficiency, although there is still margin for improvement.


Trabalho final de Mestrado