Biografia
João Tovar Jalles, a Portuguese national, is a Senior Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Lisbon. Previously, he was a Senior Economist at the Portuguese Public Finance Council. Before that he spent 5 years at the IMF: 1 year in the Research Department and 4 years in the Fiscal Affairs Department, where he participated in negotiation and review missions to Senegal and Georgia. Before joining the Fund, João was the Economist of the Brazil-Portugal Desk at the OECD’s Economics Department and before that a Fiscal Economist at the ECB’s Fiscal Policies Division (where he was part of the Troika team for Portugal). Academically, he was an Invited Lecturer at Sciences Po (France), Assistant Professor at the University of Aberdeen (UK) and he also taught at the University of Cambridge (UK) and Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Portugal).
João´s main research interest is applied macroeconomics, more specifically fiscal policy/public finance, structural reforms, macro-financial linkages, assessment of forecasts and energy economics.
João is among the top 1% economic authors in the World (Rank: [250 out of 67233]) (and, consequently, top 1% in Europe/Portugal) based on IDEAS database´s last 10-year publications (the largest bibliographic database dedicated to Economics). He has written extensively having published more than 150 academic papers in refereed journals such as: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Oxford Economic Papers, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of International Money and Finance, Economics Letters, Regional Studies, Energy Economics. João holds a B.Sc. in Economics from Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Portugal), a M.Sc. in Economics from the University of Warwick (UK), a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Cambridge (UK) and a Habilitation Degree ("Agregação") from Universidade de Lisboa.
Educação
2023 | Aggregation, Economy, Economics Universidade de Lisboa, ISEG (Portugal) |
2011 | Philosophiae Doctor , Economie, Economia University of Cambridge (United Kingdom) |
2008 | Master of Science, Economie, Economia Universidade de Warwick (UK) (United Kingdom) |
2006 | Bachelor of Science, Economie, Economia Fac. Econ. Univ. Nova Lisboa (Portugal) |
Publicações e Citações
Ano | Título / Publicação | Link |
---|---|---|
2023 | Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Shocks: A Narrative Database for Advanced Economies IZA Journal of Labor Policy |
Ver |
2023 | For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Income Inequality Energy Policy |
Ver |
2023 | Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel Comparative Economic Studies |
Ver |
2023 | Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference? Applied Economics Letters |
Ver |
2022 | Twin Deficits Revisited: a role for fiscal institutions? Journal of International Money and Finance |
Ver |
2022 | Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money |
Ver |
2022 | To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS |
Ver |
2022 | The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample Economic Systems |
Ver |
2022 | Fiscal Reaction Functions in the EU: A Tale of “r-g” and Whether it Matters Revue Française d'Economie |
Ver |
2022 | This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds Energy Economics |
Ver |
2022 | Heterogeneous Gains from Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level data Oxford Economic Papers |
Ver |
2022 | Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies Journal of International Money and Finance |
Ver |
2022 | Private and Public Consumption: Substitutes or Complements? Oxford Economic Papers |
Ver |
2022 | Do Tax Reforms affect Income Distribution? Evidence from Developing Countries Economic Modelling |
Ver |
2022 | Can Covid-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries? Applied Economics |
Ver |
2022 | Trend and Cycles in CO2 Emissions and Growth: Cross-country Evidence on Decoupling Journal of Macroeconomics |
Ver |
2022 | Do Credit Rating Agencies reward Fiscal Prudence? International Finance |
Ver |
2022 | Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its determinants International Tax and Public Finance |
Ver |
2022 | Emissions and Output: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States Journal of Developing Areas |
Ver |
2022 | An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults Open Economies Review |
Ver |
2021 | Heterogeneous Gains from Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level data Oxford Economic Papers |
Ver |
2021 | Structural tax reforms and public spending efficiency Open Economies Review |
Ver |
2021 | Taxation and public spending efficiency: An international comparison, Comparative Economic Studies |
Ver |
2021 | Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment Comparative Economic Studies |
Ver |
2021 | Recessions and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from Sectoral data Economic Modelling |
Ver |
2021 | Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter? Scottish Journal of Political Economy |
Ver |
2021 | Dynamics of Government Spending Cyclicality Economic Modelling |
Ver |
2021 | Tax Capacity and Growth in the Asia-Pacific Region Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy |
Ver |
2021 | Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel International Economics and Economic Policy |
Ver |
2020 | Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach Empirical Economics |
Ver |
2020 | Emissions and Economic Development in Commodity Exporting Countries Energy Economics |
Ver |
2020 | Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times Oxford Economic Papers |
Ver |
2020 | The effects of Macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads International Review of Law and Economics |
Ver |
2020 | On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information Journal of Economic Studies |
Ver |
2020 | The Impact of Financial Crises on the Environment in Developing Countries Annals of Finance |
Ver |
2020 | The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies Economic Analysis and Policy |
Ver |
2020 | Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies Economic Systems |
Ver |
2020 | Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The role of Fiscal Frameworks International Review of Economics and Finance |
Ver |
2020 | Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU Portuguese Economic Journal |
|
2020 | Emissions and Economic Growth in Commodity Exporting Countries Energy Economics |
Ver |
2020 | A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle FinanzArchiv |
Ver |
2019 | Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money |
Ver |
2019 | The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Centralisation vs. decentralisation Ten Years On Regional Studies |
Ver |
2019 | A Note on Inflation Dynamics, Price Volatility and Fiscal Activism Macroeconomic Dynamics |
Ver |
2019 | Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence International Finance |
Ver |
2019 | Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions Applied Economics Letters |
Ver |
2019 | On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates Comparative Economic Studies |
Ver |
2019 | The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance |
Ver |
2019 | Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics ECONOMICS BULLETIN |
Ver |
2019 | Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU Portuguese Economic Journal |
Ver |
2019 | Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs Fiscal Studies |
Ver |
2019 | Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-)Significance FinanzArchiv |
Ver |
2018 | European Commission’s Fiscal Forecasts in CEE countries: a Thorough Assessment Journal of Economic Policy Reform |
Ver |
Ano | Título / Publicação | Link |
---|---|---|
2021 | Do financial markets reward public spending efficiency? |
|
2021 | Do financial markets reward public spending efficiency? |
|
2020 | Taxation and public spending efficiency: An international comparison |
|
2020 | Structural tax reforms and public spending efficiency |
Ensino
Semester | Curso | Graduação | Coordenação |
---|---|---|---|
2º | Economia Monetária e Financeira | Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia - Economia, Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão - Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão | No |
2º | Macroeconomia I | Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia - Economia, Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão - Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão | No |
1º | Análise da Informação Económica e Empresarial | Licenciatura Bolonha em Estudos Gerais - Estudos Gerais, Licenciatura Bolonha em Finanças - Finanças, Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão | No |
Ano | Student Name / Título / Institution | Supervision Type | Link |
---|---|---|---|
2022/2023 | FADY ATEF HALIM HANNA Globalization, Crises and Economic Growth Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2021/2022 | MATTHIAS HEZEL Structural Reforms and Climate Change Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2021/2022 | MADALENA COSTA SANTOS IVO DE CARVALHO The dilemma of ghost fishing: a leniency program application Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2020/2021 | MATTHIAS HEZEL Structural Reforms and Climate Change |
Master | |
2020/2021 | FRANCISCA SAMPAIO XAVIER DE OLIVEIRA The Impact of Pandemics on Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions |
Master | Ver |
2020/2021 | ROMY CAROLINE HOREMAN How will Covid19 affect Tourism: Evidence from Past Pandemics |
Master | Ver |
Experiência Profissional
Nome / Descrição | Data | Organização |
---|---|---|
Senior Economist |
2019 - 2020 | PORTUGUESE PUBLIC FINANCE COUNCIL |
Invited Lecturer of Economics |
2012 - 2014 | Sciences Po |
Assistant Professor of Economics |
2011 - 2012 | University of Aberdeen |
Teaching Assistant and Teaching Fellow |
2009 - 2010 | Cambridge University |
Teaching Assistant |
2006 - 2007 | Fac. Econ. Univ. Nova Lisboa |